Mobile messaging apps is not a treat to mobile operator anymore. The foretasted figure for SMS traffic by 2016 is 9.4 TRILLION would be amazing and shocking to everyone.
Mobile operators' SMS revenues may be under pressure from
mobile messaging apps such as WhatsApp, iMessage and others, but
Informa Telecoms & Media forecasts that mobile operators will
still generate a total of US$722.7 billion in revenues from SMS
between 2011 and 2016.
"There will not be a uniform decline in mobile operators'
SMS traffic and revenues as a result of the adoption and use of
over-the-top messaging services," says Pamela Clark-Dickson,
senior analyst, Mobile Content & Applications, at Informa
Telecoms & Media. "Factors such as the operators' pricing
strategies, and the penetration of smartphones and mobile
broadband in a market will determine how quickly and to what
extent substitution occurs," she adds.
"For example, operators offering integrated tariffs that
include a balanced proportion of voice, SMS and mobile data, are
continuing to see growth in their SMS traffic and less impact on
their SMS revenues," says Clark-Dickson.
While Informa is forecasting either slowing growth or even
a small decline in person-to-person SMS revenues in some developed
regions and countries, total global SMS revenues will increase at
a compound annual growth rate of 3% over the next five years.
Western Europe will generate the highest amount of SMS revenues
globally between 2011 and 2016, totalling US$174.1 billion,
followed by Asia Pacific Developing, where SMS revenues will total
US$173.8 billion between 2011 and 2016.
Globally, Informa forecasts that SMS traffic will total
9.4 trillion messages by 2016, up from 5.9 trillion messages in
2011. However, SMS's share of global mobile messaging traffic will
fall from 64.1% in 2011, to 42.1% in 2016. At the same time,
global mobile instant messaging traffic will increase from 1.6
trillion messages in 2011 to 7.7 trillion messages in 2016,
doubling its share of global messaging traffic from 17.1% in 2011
to 34.6% in 2016.
Informa also forecasts that, by 2016, mobile operators
globally will still be generating a higher proportion of revenues
from mobile IM than the third-party providers of OTT messaging
services will, at US$8.7 billion or 54% of total IM service
revenues. However, the OTT messaging service providers' share of
IM revenues will climb from 37% of total revenues in 2011, to
US$7.4 billion or 46% of total revenues in 2016.
MMS remains a lucrative service for mobile operators,
punching above its weight in terms of revenues. While global MMS
traffic is expected to represent just 1.7% of global messaging
traffic in 2016, at 387.5 billion events, global MMS revenues will
represent 10.6% of global messaging revenues within the same
timeframe, at US$20.7 billion.
However, mobile e-mail will be the second highest-revenue
generator for mobile operators by 2016, generating US$32 billion
in revenues, or 16.3% of total global messaging revenues. "Mobile
e-mail is an important revenue-generating service for mobile
operators, largely because they offer it as a service bundled with
a mobile data plan," says Clark-Dickson. In addition to Research
in Motion's BlackBerry services, mobile operators also generate
revenues from their own-brand mobile e-mail services and from
offering data plans that are specifically tied to mobile e-mail
services that their subscribers can independently access on their
devices.
Source: By cellular-news.com on 29th May 2012
Source: By cellular-news.com on 29th May 2012